Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004615 0.004863 0.005118 0.005400 0.005704 0.006021 0.006379
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004239 0.004614 0.005018 0.005485 0.006013 0.006595 0.007287
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003957 0.004401 0.004892 0.005480 0.006168 0.006954 0.007928
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003721 0.004208 0.004760 0.005437 0.006251 0.007210 0.008437
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003496 0.004007 0.004597 0.005335 0.006245 0.007343 0.008789
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003314 0.003843 0.004464 0.005255 0.006249 0.007477 0.009137
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003200 0.003752 0.004410 0.005263 0.006357 0.007739 0.009656
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003004 0.003550 0.004209 0.005075 0.006202 0.007648 0.009696
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002922 0.003486 0.004174 0.005092 0.006308 0.007901 0.010209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002901 0.003494 0.004230 0.005226 0.006572 0.008372 0.011051
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002795 0.003392 0.004138 0.005161 0.006562 0.008468 0.011360
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002716 0.003318 0.004080 0.005138 0.006606 0.008636 0.011780
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002623 0.003226 0.003997 0.005077 0.006598 0.008734 0.012109
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002590 0.003211 0.004013 0.005154 0.006786 0.009124 0.012911
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002528 0.003155 0.003973 0.005150 0.006856 0.009343 0.013455
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002457 0.003085 0.003910 0.005110 0.006871 0.009477 0.013870
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002371 0.002992 0.003813 0.005017 0.006802 0.009477 0.014062
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002297 0.002912 0.003732 0.004942 0.006758 0.009512 0.014311
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002255 0.002875 0.003707 0.004950 0.006836 0.009741 0.014907
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002154 0.002754 0.003563 0.004777 0.006630 0.009507 0.014675
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002121 0.002725 0.003548 0.004793 0.006716 0.009747 0.015302
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002123 0.002747 0.003604 0.004916 0.006976 0.010284 0.016506
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002068 0.002686 0.003540 0.004856 0.006941 0.010327 0.016794